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Diesbezüglich kursieren auf den gängigsten Social Trading Plattformen auch entsprechende Webinare und Lehrvideos, die Erfahrungen und Strategien weitervermitteln.
Social Trading bzw. Copy Trading bietet gegenüber dem klassischen Anlageprozess durch Investmentfonds und Vermögensverwalter einige wichtige Vorteile, die insbesondere für Einsteiger von Bedeutung sind.
Dazu gehört einerseits das bereits erwähnte Demokonto, welches von den meisten Plattformen angeboten wird.
Hier ist lernen ohne Risiko möglich — ein klarer Vorteil gegenüber klassischen Anlageformen, bei denen von Anfang an echtes Geld im Spiel ist und Einsteiger oftmals ein hohes Lehrgeld zollen müssen, wenn sie nicht ohnehin sofort wieder aufgeben.
So kann zuerst die notwendige Erfahrung gesammelt werden, bevor es tatsächlich ernst wird. Unterstützt wird dieser Lernprozess durch die Community. Ausschlaggebend ist dabei die hohe Transparenz von Social Trading, welche es ermöglicht, die Strategien erfahrener Anleger sorgfältig zu beobachten und von Feedback und Ratschlägen der Gemeinschaft zu profitieren.
Social Trading Plattformen bieten also im Gegensatz zur klassischen Anlageberatung oder -verwaltung die Chance, selbst ein tiefgehendes Verständnis dafür zu entwickeln, wie der Markt tickt — und daraus Profit zu schlagen.
Wenn man erst einmal ausreichnd Erfahrung gesammelt hat und sich erfolgreich am Markt behauptet, bieten Social Trading Plattformen die Möglichkeit, noch zusätzlich Geld zu verdienen.
Die Anbieter der einschlägigen Plattformen bieten zusätzliche Verdienstmöglichkeiten. Je mehr Follower jemand verzeichnen kann, desto mehr kann nebenbei verdient werden.
Voraussetzung dafür ist aber natürlich, dass man bereits eine bestimmte Zeit lang überaus erfolgreich tradet und sich so das Vertrauen der anderen Anleger verdient.
Social Trading ist längst mehr als ein Trend. Wir erklären Ihnen was Social Trading ist und wie es funktioniert. Machen Sie nicht jeden fehler selbst.
Profitieren Sie von unseren Social Trading Erfahrungen. Wir glauben stark an das Konzept und das Profitpotenzial, dass Social Trading anbietet.
Jedoch nicht so, wie einige der Marketing-Materialien, die einen glauben machen sollen, dass dies so einfach ist, wie Geld in ein Bankkonto zu geben und zuzusehen, wie die Zinsen hereinfliegen.
Mit potenziellen Gewinnen sind auch Risiken verbunden. Jeder, der Trading und Investment über diese Social Networks in Betracht zieht, sollte sich zuerst einer Basisschulung unterziehen.
Wir hoffen Social-Trading. Grundsätzlich beruht Social Trading auf dem Prinzip der Cloud. Das gesammelte Wissen der Masse ist dabei der Expertise einzelner überlegen, so die Theorie.
Da es beim Traden im Prinzip um das Vorhersagen von Kursentwicklungen geht, bietet sich ein Vergleich mit dem Wetterbericht an. Beruht eine Wettervorhersage lediglich auf den Daten einer einzigen Wetterstation, so ist die Wahrscheinlichkeit eines Irrtums relativ hoch.
Werden zusätzlich auch Daten anderer Wetterstationen in die Rechnung mit aufgenommen, wird die Vorhersage sicherer. Nach genau dem selben Prinzip funktioniert auch Social Trading.
Durch die Vielzahl an geteilten Strategien und Kommentaren steigt einerseits die Transparenz und Nachvollziehbarkeit der Handelsratschläge, andererseits sinkt auch das Risiko, falsch zu liegen.
Auf diesen Plattformen sammelt sich die Community, die gegenseitig Anlagetipps gibt und kommentiert. Den auf diese Weise zustande gekommenen Strategien kann manuell gefolgt werden, es können aber auch Trades einzelner Händler automatisch kopiert werden.
Dabei wird der gewünschte Betrag bei der Plattform eingezahlt und jener Betrag festgelegt, mit dem man einem bestimmten Trader folgen möchte.
Die Verwalterdieser Portfolios unterliegen hingegen keinerlei Aufsicht und müssen auch keine einschlägige Ausbildung nachweisen können.
Das Vertrauen beruht dementsprechend wiederum auf dem Prinzip der Kontrolle durch die Community. Wer Profi- und wer Hobbytrader ist, kann anhand der Beschreibungen der einzelnen Anleger auf den Portalen festgestellt werden.
Auf dem Profil des jeweiligen Händlers kann einerseits die persönliche Strategie eingesehen werden, andererseits aber auch der Depotverlauf und die persönliche Gewinn- und Verluststatistik.
This is a survey of about 2, investors and analysts which asks respondents to rate the relative 6-month economic outlook for the Eurozone.
A monthly index released by the Institute of Supply Management which tracks the amount of manufacturing activity that occurred in the previous month.
ISM Manufacuring assesses the state of US industry by surveying executives on expectations for future production, new orders, inventories, employment and deliveries.
This data is considered a very important and trusted economic measure. If the index has a value below 50, due to a decrease in activity, it tends to indicate an economic recession, especially if the trend continues over several months.
A value substantially above 50 likely indicates a time of economic growth. The values for the index can be between 0 and The CFTC report turned out to be quite informative and indicates a possible change in the mood.
The dollar is still under strong pressure, but if it weakened across the entire spectrum of the market in previous weeks, then now we need to proceed from the fact that the demand for defensive assets is increasing, while it is decreasing for risky assets.
Speculators are building up long positions in the euro, franc and yen, which is a sign of growing concern, while only the CAD has seen a reduction in the short position of commodity currencies, and AUD and NZD have started to sell off.
In terms of reporting, the dollar looks to have taken a starting position before an extremely busy week. As the election approaches, consumer confidence is at a very low level, which is equivalent to defeat for the Trump administration.
As a consequence, we should expect actions that can raise positivity. The US economy is recovering too weakly, the probability of new monetary stimulus from the FRS is growing, and the overall rise in anti-risk sentiment will boost demand for the dollar.
Euro continues to dominate confidently against the dollar. Despite the fact that the macroeconomic data published at the end of last week showed a strong slowdown in the eurozone economy in the 2nd quarter, the depth of the fall is still noticeably less than in the United States.
GDP was reduced by The net long position in the euro increased by 5. At the same time, the estimated fair price is clearly slowing its growth, which indicates that the bullish momentum is nearing exhaustion.
Nevertheless, the demand for the euro will remain strong, as the EU is consistently moving towards a common bond market, which is a strong long-term factor.
At the same time, there are growing signs that the dollar will begin to recover some of the losses ahead of the November elections in accordance with the Treasury plan, which has accumulated 1.
This "safety cushion" is likely to play a role and fill the system with cheap liquidity, which will lead to increased demand for US assets.
The calendar for the euro this week is uninformative, which cannot be said about the dollar. The news background will shift towards data from the US, which may serve as a convenient reason for taking profit.
The zone of 1. The nearest support zone is 1. Thus, you need to be ready for profit taking and a pullback down.
Although the macroeconomic indicators came out better than forecasted last week, the pound continues to experience pressure that may lead to a downward reversal in the very near future.
The volume of consumer lending has grown. There is a strong increase in approved applications for mortgages, contrary to forecasts, the prices for housing are growing - all these are signs of a recovering consumer demand.
At the same time, the net short position in the pound increased immediately by million, the target price went below the long-term average after an attempt to resume growth, which increases the chances of a top formation and a downward reversal.
The Bank of England meeting will take place on August 6. A strong increase in volatility is possible if the BoE is too cautious and remains likely to cut rates.
Considering the fact that based on CFTC reports, large speculators are fixing profits, the chances of continued growth to 1. It is likely to move to the side range, We have support at 1.
July has now ended. If we analyze all the trades that occurred that month, we will see that more than points was taken during an upward move, in the structure of which there was no correction, and the slope of the chart reached 84 degrees.
In addition, the yearly high which is the price level of 1. Hence, the US dollar became oversold, and the constant change of quotes led to an unstable growth, mainly due to the speculative mood of market participants.
So on the last day of July, the quote reached the price level of 1. Such a movement can be considered a correction, but the scale is quite different than expected.
Anyhow, analyzing the trades last Friday by minutes, we can see that a round of short positions appeared at the beginning of the European session and lasted until the closing of the trading day.
This suggests that activity over the past week was consistently high, which confirmed the presence of speculators on the market.
If we examine the dynamics of volatility in July, we can see that the average daily value is 86 points, which is 7. JULY: Wednesday - 90 points; Thursday - 79 points; Friday - 33 points; Monday - points; Tuesday - 73 points; Wednesday - 89 points; Thursday - 90 points; Friday - 69 points; Monday - 73 points; Tuesday - 83 points; Wednesday - 61 points; Thursday - 71 points; Friday - 67 points; Monday - 65 points; Tuesday - points; Wednesday - 93 points; Thursday - 86 points; Friday - 76 points; Monday - points; Tuesday - 75 points; Wednesday - 92 points; Thursday - points; Friday - points.
The dynamics since the beginning of the year is 88 points average daily value , which once again confirms the presence of speculators in the market.
As discussed in the previous review , traders were anticipating the correction, so short positions were opened below the level of 1. Looking at the trading chart in general terms daily period , we can see that the quote returned to the price level it had on the fall of With regards to news, the reports published last Friday included the first estimate on the EU GDP for the second quarter, in which it seems that a time machine was triggered and threw the EU economy back years.
This means that data on GDP came out worse than forecasted, with which the quarterly indicator shrank by Such figures indicate that the German economy has returned to the level it had in , Spain in and Italy in Just as what European Commissioner for Economic Affairs Paolo Gentolini emphasized, the coronavirus pandemic has unprecedented consequences for all European countries.
Today, the final data on the Euro area's Manufacturing PMI was published, in which the index came out even better than the forecast of The index is forecast to rise from If the US PMI comes out better than the forecast, the dollar may receive support and continue to rise in the market.
Analyzing the current trading chart, we can see a fluctuation within the values 1. Assuming that the correction has not reached the required scale yet, a consolidation of quotes below 1.
But an alternative scenario could develop, if the market follows the speculative mood of traders, which disregards the characteristic oversold of the US dollar.
In such a case, a consolidation higher than 1. Analyzing the different sectors of time frames TF , we can see that the indicators of technical instruments in the minute and hourly periods signal "sell" due to the correction of quotes, while the daily period, as before, signals "buy", reflecting the full scale of the movement.
Support Zones: 1. We have repeatedly said that if there is no openly failed and negative fundamental background in the European Union, then there is one in the UK.
However, the pound has grown no weaker than the euro in recent weeks and has grown by 8 cents since July 1. Just as in the case of the euro, there were almost no corrections over the past month, and last Friday the pullback began, but so far it does not exceed the scale and size of the meager corrections that were in July.
So, for now, we can't even say that the pair has started to adjust. Returning to the fundamental background, over the past week, no macroeconomic reports were published in Britain, there was not a single news item on the Brexit negotiations, there was not a single important message from Boris Johnson.
Complete calm. However, the lack of news is not generally a positive thing. If the United States has so-called "4 crises", then the UK has its own "3 economic crises".
At the very least, they were able to cope with the "coronavirus" in Foggy Albion, although new waves are expected with the arrival of autumn and winter.
But while this is not the case, we can only focus on economic problems. And here the situation is not much different from the American one.
You will agree that this is also a very large figure, although not as huge as in the United States. But at the same time, we should not forget that the fate of the American economy is in the hands of the White House.
If the US government makes the right decisions, the epidemic can be stopped and the economy restored. But this judgment cannot be applied to the UK.
London does not want to make mutual concessions. London does not want to remain dependent on the European Union. Thus, Boris Johnson, who was initially ready to take the country out of the EU through a "hard" Brexit, has not changed his position at all now.
Personally, the Prime Minister is not afraid of this option, but he is afraid of the Bank of England, Andrew Bailey and all the economists and businessmen of the Foggy Albion.
Because everyone understands that if the UK suffers losses of billion pounds annually since due to Brexit, then after December 31, , when Brexit will be officially completed, and there will be no trade deal with either the European Union or the US, this will be another stronger blow to the British economy.
Thus, from our point of view, the British economy will certainly begin to recover in the third and fourth quarters, but the recovery will be weak, and in , there may be a slowdown in the growth rate of the economy.
And this is all in a favorable epidemiological situation in the country. If there is a second "wave" of the pandemic, then a new quarantine, a new "lockdown" will be possible.
And if the British government is as selfish as in the US, and does not introduce a new quarantine, then this will not save the economy much. An example is America at this time.
At the same time, the situation across the ocean does not change at all. The pandemic in America is slowing down a little, but we can not yet say that the wave of the epidemic is coming to an end.
Every day, at least 60, cases of diseases are recorded in the United States. Donald Trump, on whom much depends now, continues to conduct polemics and try to "whiten" his reputation.
In particular, the US president announced this weekend that China is to blame for high unemployment. This is so terrible, especially given that they know for sure that it's not the fault of the workers, it's the fault of China!
At the same time, there were 14 cases of "coronavirus" among US congressmen and senators. Based on all the above, it follows that the British pound should stop rampant growth in the near future, because the fundamental background in the UK is now no better than in the United States.
At the same time, technical factors also remain extremely important. Thus, we still recommend considering trading for an increase until the pair's quotes are fixed below the moving average.
This week, an important event will finally happen in the UK - the meeting of the Bank of England. However, as with the Fed, no changes in monetary policy parameters are expected by traders, so it is unlikely that the reaction to this event will be strong.
However, the speech by Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey may have an impact on market sentiment. In any case, do not lose sight of this event.
Also recently, we often talk about the publication of the report on GDP in the UK for the second quarter, but it is planned only for August 12, that is, not even for this week.
As for the United States, the topic of "coronavirus" will continue to be in the first place, which will be supplemented by data on mass riots.
Also on Monday and Tuesday, British Foreign Trade Minister Liz Truss plans to meet with US trade representative Robert Lighthizer and hold talks on a future free trade agreement, but, as Truss says, no one is going to rush the negotiations, and there is no clearly set schedule.
On Monday, August 3, thus, we expect movement within the channel, limited by the levels of 1. Turning the Heiken Ashi indicator upward will indicate the resumption of the upward movement of the pair.
Thus, today it is recommended to wait for the completion of the correction and resume trading for an increase with the goals of 1. The US currency has fallen into the abyss in recent weeks at the rate of almost free fall.
Such strong growth of the euro and the pound against the dollar has not happened for a long time. And given the fact that there has been no optimistic news in the European Union and the UK recently, then, as we have repeatedly said, the reason for the fall of the dollar is only the "4 crises" that are raging now in the United States.
We have already written about them many times, as well as about the fact that the upward trend can be interrupted at any time. Last Friday, buyers took the first step towards completing the upward trend.
A powerful pullback followed and now it is unknown whether traders will want to start buying euros and selling the dollar again?
After all, despite the fact that it is now very difficult to find a sphere of life in America where everything would be in order, the euro currency has already risen quite significantly against the dollar.
The American currency cannot fall forever! Therefore, we will not be surprised if the dollar rises this week, even though there are no fundamental reasons for this now.
By and large, the past trading week ended as expected. It turned out that GDP declined by So we can't even say that the numbers were much worse than traders' expectations.
The second most important report of the day — EU inflation for July — was even better than forecasts. Core inflation was 1.
Thus, we would even conclude that the euro currency had no fundamental or macroeconomic reasons to fall on this day. And this correction has been brewing for a long time.
The chief newsmaker of recent months and years, Donald Trump, again came under massive criticism from the media. In principle, this is logical when the head of state not only rests on his laurels when everything is good in the country, telling people left and right that it is his merit, but also takes responsibility for what is happening when the country is in crisis.
Trump, of course, is unlikely to take responsibility for all the types of crises that now exist in the United States, however, the Americans have put the responsibility for what is happening on Trump and the government as a whole.
And this is normal and logical. The government is to lead the country. If the results are bad, then the government needs to change.
At least in democratic countries, this is true, and the US proclaims itself a democratic country. Thus, the conclusion is self-evident.
Trump needs to go. The answer is obvious. But even this is not the most interesting thing. The most interesting thing is how Trump is trying to "whitewash" himself, to prove to the American people that he is not to blame for everything that is happening, and most importantly — to be re-elected for a second term.
Some respected media outlets with a global reputation have noticed interesting patterns in Trump's behavior. As soon as any significant event happens in the United States that "casts a shadow" on the president, the president himself immediately makes a loud statement to distract the attention of the people from negative news.
Earlier, Trump began to inflate the baseless case of "Obamagate", accusing Joe Biden, Barack Obama and other Democrats of dishonest play in the election, saying they did not want his victory and put all their forces "sticks in the wheels", despite the fact that no evidence of their words.
Then, the number of deaths from the "coronavirus" crossed the 80, mark. And even if this is a pure coincidence, and Trump's proposal to postpone the election is serious, it does not add points to the president's karma, because his proposal was immediately criticized by everyone, even Republicans, who said that never before in the history of the United States has a presidential election been postponed.
In general, "American circus" continues and it is unclear how it can end. Thus, at the moment, we would say that the US currency has no prospects.
Nevertheless, they are there. First, the technical ones. Almost non-stop growth continued on July 1, that is, exactly a month.
During this time, the euro rose by 7 cents. For comparison, for the entire year, with a favorable fundamental background for the dollar, this currency has grown by 2 cents.
Thus, traders can expect points of correction. Then, secondly, all the current negative fundamental and macroeconomic background has already been played out.
It is clear that the longer the epidemic persists in the US, the longer the mass riots continue, the more Trump will "bury" his chances of reelection thanks to absolutely opaque actions and statements, the more likely it is that the fall of the US currency will continue.
However, we still believe that first there should be these very reasons for new sales of the US currency. Thus, as long as the price is above the moving average line, we continue to recommend trading on the trend no matter what.
It is recommended to consider seriously selling the pair only after overcoming the moving average. But at the same time, we must understand that a correction of points down is now very likely.
So we must be ready for this option. Thus, we expect the pair to move today between the levels of 1. The upward reversal of the Heiken Ashi indicator signals the end of the downward correction within the ascending trend.
Thus, at this time, it is recommended to continue to consider the possibility of opening purchases with the goals of 1.
It is recommended to open sell orders no earlier than when the pair is fixed below the moving average line with the first target of 1. The dollar index slightly recovered in the Asian session on Monday, continuing Friday's trends.
The indicator reached However, the first impulse wave has subsided at this level — the index has retreated again and is currently drifting around the middle of the 93rd figure.
Let me remind you that dollar bulls were able to seize the initiative at the end of last week - firstly, not only did the five-day trading period end on Friday, but also the month, therefore, many traders rushed to take their profits on the eve of the weekend.
Secondly, the dollar began to rise amid reports of a sharp increase in the number of COVID infections outside the United States: the relevant information came, in particular, from Spain, Australia, Japan, Iran and India.
For example, Indian authorities reported that the increase in infections in the country exceeded the 50, mark for the third consecutive day.
Almost 3, infected were detected in Iran over the past day - this is the highest increase in the last month.
The head of the Iranian Ministry of Health said that the situation is of concern in 25 of the 31 provinces of the country.
Disappointing data also came from Spain - they also reported a surge in incidence there on Friday - in just one day the number of coronavirus cases increased by one and a half thousand.
This is the highest intraday gain since the quarantine in the country eased that is, since the end of June. The daily gain exceeded the thousandth mark for the third consecutive day.
A difficult situation has developed in Australia, namely in the state of Victoria. The market was also concerned about the European economy, which showed a record decline in 25 years that is, in the entire history of observations in the second quarter.
Countries such as Spain, France and Portugal have set anti-records. And although such a result was an expected event the second quarter was the peak of the coronavirus crisis , the very fact of this statement caused a surge in anti-risk sentiment.
Such a news picture against the background of the end of the week and month allowed the dollar bulls to win back some of the lost positions on Friday.
At the finish line, traders preferred the US currency or took profit in positions against the greenback, thereby providing indirect support to the currency.
On Monday, dollar bulls tried to continue what they started, but Friday's enthusiasm noticeably faded: the dollar index could not even get back to the 94th figure, reflecting the market's skeptical attitude towards the greenback.
The fact is that external problems, if I may say so, do not look so sad and frightening about US events. Despite spikes in cases in a number of countries around the world, many experts agree that these outbreaks are local, while the overall situation with COVID is under control.
This is not true of the United States, where the number of deaths from coronavirus has already exceeded , According to experts at Johns Hopkins University, the epidemic is spreading "almost out of control" in almost every state in the country.
The number of new cases has significantly grown in two-thirds of the states over the past week. The most difficult situation is in the southern regions of the country.
More than 70, new cases were detected over the past seven days in Florida, 67, in California, more than 57, in Texas. At the same time, scientists and doctors warn that the situation can only get worse in cold periods of the year against the background of a possible flu epidemic.
Deborah Birks, coordinator of the White House working group on coronavirus control, said today that the United States has entered a new phase of the coronavirus epidemic, when the infection has become "extremely common" in both rural and urban areas.
I think any additional comments are unnecessary here. The dollar's second problem is political. Democrats and Republicans still can't agree on the scope of additional assistance to 30 million unemployed Americans.
Over the weekend, political battles continued on one of the TV channels: the head of the House of Representatives, Nancy Pelosi, and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin argued with each other in absentia over the amount of new aid that the Federal government should approve.
Let me remind you that the US has stopped paying dollar additional payments since July Key negotiators on Saturday said they had "made some progress" in the negotiations, but were unable to find a common denominator on the issue.
Republicans and Democrats remain seriously at odds over the total amount of coronavirus aid, with Democratic officials proposing a three-trillion-dollar bill, while Republicans want to limit themselves to one trillion.
Discussion of the parties on the fate of the package will be resumed today. All this suggests that the dollar's growth may be corrective, short-term.
As soon as the pair touched the middle of the 17th figure, it began to attract buyers. And although the behavior of traders is now extremely cautious, it can be assumed that sellers will find it difficult to overcome even the first support level of 1.
Buying can be viewed either from current positions, waiting for the correction to finally end it is likely that the bears will try to decline to the bottom of the 17th figure.
The first target of the upward movement is 1. The morning data on manufacturing activity in the UK did not allow buyers of the pound to return the market under their control, even despite the fact that the data came out generally quite good.
An unsuccessful attempt to break above 1. I paid attention to this probability in my morning forecast and recommended selling the pound.
At the moment, the task of the bulls is to protect the support of 1. If there is no activity from the bulls at the level of 1.
It is also an important task for buyers to return the resistance to 1. The bears fully coped with their task and continued the downward correction of the pound.
In the second half of the day, their goal is the support of 1. However, for such an active movement of the pound down, very good data on manufacturing activity in the US will be required.
If the bulls try to regain control of the market, short positions can still be returned if a false breakout is formed in the resistance area of 1.
Trading is below the 30 and 50 daily averages, which indicates a further downward correction for the pound. Note: The period and prices of moving averages are considered by the author on the hourly chart H1 and differ from the general definition of the classic daily moving averages on the daily chart D1.
In case of growth, the upper limit of the indicator in the area of 1. Despite the fundamental statistics on the euro area last Friday, several obvious signals to sell the European currency were formed, which we will now talk about in more detail.
If you look at the 5-minute chart and remember my forecast, you will see how forming a false breakout after an unsuccessful attempt to break above the resistance of 1.
Then after an unsuccessful attempt by the bulls to return to the market and from this level in the second half of the day, another signal formed to open short positions, and only from the 1.
At the moment, the focus is on this range. Most likely, the bulls will be able to repel it in the first half of the day, which will form a signal to buy the euro.
However, much will depend on how the reports on manufacturing activity in the eurozone will turn out today. A slower recovery will not allow the bulls to break above the 1.
The bears will defend the 1. Forming a false breakout in this range after the release of reports on manufacturing activity in the eurozone, will be a signal to sell the euro.
The goal of bears in this scenario will be to support 1. Another target is the low of 1. If the pair shows growth in the first half of the day, you can open short positions on a rebound from the resistance of 1.
Trading is carried out below 30 and 50 moving averages, which indicates the possibility of continuing the formation of the downward correction.
Note: The period and prices of moving averages are considered by the author on the H1 hourly chart and differs from the general definition of the classic daily moving averages on the daily D1 chart.
Growth will be limited by the upper level of the indicator around 1. A breakout of the lower border of the indicator at 1.
The pressure on the British pound returned on Friday, but this did not lead to a serious sale. Several signals formed to enter the market.
Let's break them down on a 5 minute chart. You can clearly see how bears formed a false breakout in the resistance area of 1.
Then the bulls also formed an entry point into long positions. However, even here, the upward movement of more than 30 points does not work.
At the moment, buyers of the pound will be focused on the resistance of 1. The return and consolidation at this level, along with good data on manufacturing activity in the UK, form a good signal to buy the pound.
The goal of the movement will be to update the previous week's high at 1. In case the pound falls in the first half of the day, it is best not to rush to open long positions, but wait for a false breakout to form in the support area of 1.
Sellers of the pound need to protect the resistance of 1. If bears are not active in the 1. Or sell the pound immediately on a rebound from the larger resistance of 1.
Trading is carried out in the area of 30 and 50 moving averages, which indicates a pause in the continuation of the bull market.
Growth will be limited by the upper level of the indicator in the area of 1. A break of the lower border at 1. The macroeconomic reports released last Friday failed to support the European currency, as a result of which, the euro lost by more than points against the US dollar.
However, such a huge downward correction does not pose a real threat to the bull market yet, which began in the middle of last month.
The contraction of the French economy in the 2nd quarter was not a surprise since from March to early May, quarantine restrictions were still present in the country.
The report published last Friday indicated that the economy shrank Such data is very encouraging for the central bank, since on the one hand, there are no deflationary expectations, and on the other, zero interest rates have not led to a sharp inflationary jump, which allows the preservation of the current monetary policy, thereby supporting the economy.
With regards to consumer spending, a sharp recovery in June was another positive news for the economy. According to the data, consumer spending in France jumped by 9.
This suggests that the economy is on a good track of recovery. Italy also recorded a sharp contraction in GDP in the second quarter, coming out at Such immediately threw the economy back to its state in the early s, with which poor recovery of activity remains the main problem.
It seems that it will take at least several years for the economy to return to pre-crisis levels, as economists forecast GDP to contract further by Compared to the same period of last year, GDP in the 2nd quarter decreased by But despite such a gloomy GDP, it is encouraging that retail sales in Italy, like in other eurozone countries, have been growing for about two months now.
Recent data reveals that the retail sales index rose by However, compared to the same period of last year, retail sales fell 2. Thus, the overall state of the eurozone economy in the 2nd quarter declined by Economists already expected a For example, GDP in Germany fell Unfortunately, inflation, which accelerated in the eurozone in July, cannot be ignored, and is a good signal for the European Central Bank.
According to official data, the CPI of the eurozone rose 0. The increase was mainly due to a surge in energy prices, while core annual inflation, which does not take into account volatile prices, rose to 1.
Economists expected core inflation to remain at 0. As for the United States, data that were released on Friday were very positive, so demand for the US dollar rose, increasing the position of the currency in the market.
One of the reports was the rise of consumer spending in the US, which jumped by 5. Data on business activity in Chicago also showed a recovery to its pre-crisis level, as the report indicated that PMI rose from Unfortunately, consumer sentiment in the country fell in July, mainly due to the surge of COVID infections, which raised the fear of Americans.
According to the report published by the University of Michigan, the final consumer sentiment index came out Such will lead to either the formation of a new upper limit of the downward channel by the bears, or a renewal of highs in the area of 1.
However, an unsuccessful attempt to reach the level of 1. For the first time in a long time, a correctional move appeared, which set a reverse movement from the level of 1.
The weakening of the European currency is associated not only with the technical fact of overbought long-term strengthening , but also with fundamental analysis.
During the Friday afternoon, there was a wide flow of economic news from Europe, where the first estimate of an important indicator of EU GDP Gross Domestic Product of the European Union , for the second quarter was published.
This economic indicator, like GDP, expresses the value of all goods and services sold in the euro area for a specified period.
They indicate the trend of economic development, its growth or contraction. The growth of the indicator indicates the strengthening of the European currency, while the decline in GDP indicates weakening.
Based on the published GDP indicators, we see that the EU economy is going through hard times, and this affects the rate of the euro.
Regarding the current development of the quote, a downward movement can be seen, where the quote managed to return within the blue trend lines, which had previously interacted with market participants in history.
For the technical analysis, in this case, we consider two possible developments of the quote at once:. The first option is based on the fact that the overbought rate of the European currency is still at a high level, which means that the corrective move can still hold on to the market.
In this case, you should enter sell positions below 1. The second option considers a rebound from the blue trend lines, thereby resuming an upward trajectory.
In this case, you should enter a buy position above 1. Analyzing the current trading chart on the 4H time-frame, I found that there is still symmetrical triangle chart formation in creation, which is sign that BTC is in period of contraction and that breakout should happen in next period.
These comments aren't new by the PBOC but it reaffirms their current monetary policy stance and that they will keep going forward with targeted RRR cuts when necessary to aid with liquidity, while also maintaining current credit conditions.
Again, for all the rhetoric China may tout about the recovery, what's more important is to watch for their policy measures and what local authorities are doing on the ground.
I would watch for potential breakout of this level to confirm further upside continuation. Analyzing the current trading chart, I found that there is Ascending triangle chart pattern in creation and potential for the upside continuation.
Based on the graph above I found that Gold is in the middle of the list, which is indication of the current flat mode contraction.
Growth of new orders in fact outpaced production, hinting strongly that August should see further output gains. The order book improvement has also helped restore business confidence about the outlook in July to January's pre-pandemic peak.
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